Where's the Red Ball?

This is the Posterior Distribution of where the red ball could be after each exploratory ball toss. The shaded region represents where we are currently 95% certain the ball lies.

The Blue Curve represents your current state of knowledge. The peak is the most likely location. The Shaded Region is the 95% Credible Interval. If the secret ball is revealed, it will appear as a Red Circle on both the table and the graph axis.